Final Complete Oscar Predictions

Best Picture:
1. The Social Network
2. The King’s Speech
3. Black Swan
4. The Fighter
5. Inception
6. Toy Story 3
7. True Grit
8. The Kids Are All Right
9. Winter’s Bone
10. 127 Hours
Alternate: The Town
Should Be Nominated: Blue Valentine

Best Director:
1. David Fincher, The Social Network
2. Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
3. Christopher Nolan, Inception
4. Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
5. David O. Russell, The Fighter
Alternate: Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
Should Be Nominated: Lisa Cholodenko, The Kids Are All Right

Best Lead Actor:
1. Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
2. James Franco, 127 Hours
3. Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
4. Jeff Bridges, True Grit
5. Robert Duvall, Get Low
Alternate: Javier Bardem, Biutiful
Should Be Nominated: Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine

Best Lead Actress:
1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan
2. Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
3. Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
4. Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
5. Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
Alternate: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Should Be Nominated: Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
1. Christian Bale, The Fighter
3. Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
3. Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
5. Sam Rockwell, Conviction
Alternate: Jeremy Renner, The Town
Should Be Nominated: Jack McGee, The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Amy Adams, The Fighter
2. Melissa Leo, The Fighter
3. Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
4. Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
5. Lesley Manville, Another Year
Alternate: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Should Be Nominated: Olivia Williams, The Ghost Writer

Best Original Screenplay:
1. The King’s Speech
2. The Kids Are All Right
3. Inception
4. Black Swan
5. The Fighter
Alternate: Another Year
Should Be Nominated: Blue Valentine

Best Adapted Screenplay:
1. The Social Network
2. Toy Story 3
3. Winter’s Bone
4. True Grit
5. The Ghost Writer
Alternate: 127 Hours
Should Be Nominated: How to Train Your Dragon

Best Animated Feature:
1. Toy Story 3
2. How to Train Your Dragon
3. Despicable Me
Alternate: The Illusionist/Tangled

Best Foreign Language Film:
1. Denmark, In a Better World
2. South Africa, Life Above All
3. Canada, Incendies
4. Sweden, Simple Simon
5. Mexico, Biutiful
Alternate: Algeria, Outside the Law

Best Art Direction:
1. Inception
2. The King’s Speech
3. Alice in Wonderland
4. True Grit
5. The Social Network
Alternates: Shutter Island/Black Swan/Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1

Best Cinematography:
1. Inception
2. True Grit
3. Black Swan
4. The Social Network
5. 127 Hours
Alternates: The King’s Speech/Shutter Island/The Way Back

Best Costume Design:
1. The King’s Speech
2. Alice in Wonderland
3. Black Swan
4. True Grit
5. The Tempest
Alternates: Made in Dagenham/Burlesque/Get Low

Best Film Editing:
1. The Social Network
2. Inception
3. The Fighter
4. Black Swan
5. 127 Hours
Alternates: The King’s Speech/True Grit/Toy Story 3

Best Makeup:
1. Alice in Wonderland
2. The Wolfman
3. True Grit
Alternate: The Fighter/The Way Back/Barney’s Version/Jonah Hex

Best Original Score:
1. The King’s Speech
2. Inception
3. How to Train Your Dragon
4. The Social Network
5. The Ghost Writer
Alternates: Never Let Me Go/127 Hours/TRON: Legacy

Best Original Song:
1. “I See the Light,” Tangled
2. “Shine,” Waiting for “Superman”
3. “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me,” Burlesque
4. “If I Rise,” 127 Hours
5. “We Belong Together,” Toy Story 3
Alternates: “Bound to You,” Burlesque/“Coming Home,” Country Strong/“Sticks & Stones,” How to Train Your Dragon

Best Sound Mixing:
1. Inception
2. The Social Network
3. Toy Story 3
4. TRON: Legacy
5. 127 Hours
Alternates: Salt/Unstoppable/Black Swan/True Grit

Best Sound Editing:
1. Inception
2. Toy Story 3
3. TRON: Legacy
4. 127 Hours
5. Black Swan
Alternates: True Grit/Salt/Unstoppable/Iron Man 2

Best Visual Effects:
1. Inception
2. TRON: Legacy
3. Alice in Wonderland
4. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
5. Iron Man 2
Alternates: Scott Pilgrim vs. the World/Hereafter

Best Documentary Feature:
1. Inside Job
2. Waiting for “Superman”
3. Waste Land
4. The Tillman Story
5. Exit Through the Gift Shop
Alternates: Restrepo/Client 9: The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer/Gasland

Best Documentary Short:
1. Strangers No More
2. The Warriors of Qiugang
3. Living for 32
4. Killing in the Name
5. Poster Girl
Alternates: One Thousand Pictures: RFK’s Last Journey/Sun Come Up/Born Sweet

Best Animated Short:
1. Day & Night
2. Coyote Falls
3. Urs
4. The Lost Thing
5. The Cow Who Wanted to Be a Hamburger
Alternates: Madagascar, a Journey Diary/Sensology/The Gruffalo/The Silence Beneath the Bark/Let’s Pollute

Best Live Action Short:
1. The Six Dollar Fifty Man
2. Na Wewe
3. Wish 143
4. The Crush
5. Shoe
Alternates: Seeds of the Fall/Little Children, Big Words/The Confession/God of Love/Ana’s Playground

Final Oscar Predictions Podcast

In the newest For Your Speculation podcast, Rachel and I are joined by Cesco, Matt and Erik. We had lots of fun recording it, so hope you enjoy it.

Final Golden Globe Predictions!

We discussed these on the podcast, but now for the final word.

Best Picture-Drama:
Ted: The King's Speech
Rachel: The King's Speech

Best Picture-Comedy/Musical:
Ted: The Kids Are All Right
Rachel: The Kids Are All Right

Best Director:
Ted: David Fincher, The Social Network
Rachel: David Fincher, The Social Network

Best Lead Actor-Drama:
Ted: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Rachel: Colin Firth, The King's Speech

Best Lead Actress-Drama:
Ted: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Rachel: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Best Lead Actor-Comedy/Musical:
Ted: Johnny Depp, Alice in Wonderland
Rachel: Paul Giamatti, Barney's Version

Best Lead Actress-Comedy/Musical:
Ted: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Rachel: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right

Best Supporting Actor:
Ted: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Rachel: Christian Bale, The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress:
Ted: Amy Adams, The Fighter
Rachel: Amy Adams, The Fighter

Best Screenplay:
Ted: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Rachel: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

Best Score:
Ted: Hans Zimmer, Inception
Rachel: Hans Zimmer, Inception

Best Song:
Ted: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," Burlesque
Rachel: "I See the Light," Tangled

Best Animated Film:
Ted: Toy Story 3
Rachel: Toy Story 3

Best Foreign Film:
Ted: Biutiful
Rachel: Biutiful

Best TV Series-Drama:
Ted: Boardwalk Empire
Rachel: Boardwalk Empire

Best TV Series-Comedy:
Ted: Glee
Rachel: Glee

Best TV Movie/Miniseries:
Ted: The Pacific
Rachel: Temple Grandin

Best Lead Actor-Drama:
Ted: Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Rachel: Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Best Lead Actress-Drama:
Ted: Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Rachel: Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife

Best Lead Actor-Comedy:
Ted: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Rachel: Steve Carell, The Office

Best Lead Actress-Comedy:
Ted: Laura Linney, The Big C
Rachel: Laura Linney, The Big C

Best Lead Actor-M/M:
Ted: Edgar Ramirez, Carlos
Rachel: Edgar Ramirez, Carlos

Best Lead Actress-M/M:
Ted: Claire Danes, Temple Grandin
Rachel: Claire Danes, Temple Grandin

Best Supporting Actor:
Ted: Chris Noth, The Good Wife
Rachel: David Strathairn, Temple Grandin

Best Supporting Actress:
Ted: Jane Lynch, Glee
Rachel: Jane Lynch, Glee

Supporting Actress Blogathon: Melissa Leo in The Fighter

Please visit StinkyLulu's 5th annual Supporting Actress Blog-a-thon for more supporting actress write-ups!



Melissa Leo isn't the world's most subtle actress. If you look back at some of her recent filmography (including her Oscar-nominated role in Courtney Hunt's Frozen River), you'll find many scenery that's gone missing. But sometimes, the scenery has to be chewed.



In her most current work, Melissa Leo plays big-haired matriarch, Alice Ward, in David O. Russell's The Fighter. She does so, with plenty of gusto and relish, that some viewers have seen her performance as a bit off-putting. The beauty of it all, as many reports have been made, is that the real Alice Ward is nothing like the one on screen...she's even more loud and vibrant. Which means that Leo did have to turn it down a notch.

WARNING: SPOILERS AHEAD!

What also makes Melissa Leo's performance so great is how well she plays off of the other characters in the film (something that she does so naturally in many of her previous work, including HBO's Treme). You totally buy that she loves her husband (where's all the critic's attention for the wonderful Jack McGee?) and that she's a dedicate mom to her sons and daughters (oh my, the daughters! That's another post that needs to be written separately). And when Amy Adams' character, Charlene, shows up, we totally buy that Alice..Does. Not. Like. Her. At. All.



Don't forget Leo's entrance. She comes into the film, like a woman on a mission. What is that mission? To get the best for her boy. No, not Mickey (Mark Wahlberg), but Dickie (Christian Bale). In fact, the majority of her time in the film, Alice dedicates her time and effort to push Dickey back into the limelight. She doesn't even realize the true reason why those cameras are following their family. As long as it leads to some sort of comeback for Dickey, it doesn't matter. Until everyone watches what the cameras caught on film.



Then we get to Alice's relationship with Dickie. When she is told that Dickie is once again out getting his fix, she hops into her car to find him. Again, she tries to pretend that it's not happening. And we ask ourselves, why? Well, we might not be sure why, but the car scene between Leo and Bale is masterful. Dickie starts to sing "I Started a Joke" (the Bee Gees people!) which hits Alice so hard, she's in tears and begins to sing along with him. It's such a beautiful mother-son moment, that it almost feels uncomfortable looking into this deeply personal moment. Bale is looking very strong to take the Supporting Actor Oscar, but in a clouded field like Supporting Actress, this scene will be the reason Melissa Leo might just become a frontrunner in that category.

Newest Podcast Is Up!

Get it while it's hot!

Episode Thirty Seven - New Oscar Thoughts

SAG Predix

Best Ensemble:
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The Social Network
The Town
Winter's Bone

Best Lead Actor:
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine

Best Lead Actress:
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

Best Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech

Best Supporting Actress:
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Jackie Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole

Golden Globe Predictions

Ahhhh! I still don't know anything! Here goes nothing!

Best Picture-Drama:
1. The Social Network
2. The King's Speech
3. Inception
4. True Grit
5. 127 Hours
(If six, Black Swan)

Best Picture-Comedy/Musical:
1. The Kids Are All Right
2. Made in Dagenham
3. Nowhere Boy
4. How Do You Know
5. Easy A
(If six, Barney's Version)

Best Director:
1. David Fincher, The Social Network
2. Christopher Nolan, Inception
3. Ethan and Joel Coen, True Grit
4. Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
5. Lisa Cholodenko, The Kids Are All Right
(If six, Danny Boyle, 127 Hours)

Best Lead Actor-Drama:
1. Colin Firth, The King's Speech
2. James Franco, 127 Hours
3. Jeff Bridges, True Grit
4. Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
5. Michael Douglas, Solitary Man
(If six, Aaron Ekhart, Rabbit Hole)

Best Lead Actress-Drama:
1. Natalie Portman, Black Swan
2. Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
3. Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
4. Lesley Manville, Another Year
5. Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
(If six, Noomi Rapace, The Girl With a Dragon Tattoo)

Best Lead Actor-Comedy/Musical:
1. Paul Giamatti, Barney's Version
2. Jake Gyllenhaal, Love and Other Drugs
3. Aaron Johnson, Nowhere Boy
4. Jim Carrey, I Love You Phillip Morris
5. Paul Rudd, How Do You Know
(If six, Ben Stiller, Greenberg)

Best Lead Actress-Comedy/Musical:
1. Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
2. Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
3. Sally Hawkins, Made in Dagenham
4. Anne Hathaway, Love and Other Drugs
5. Emma Stone, Easy A
(If six, Reese Witherspoon, How Do You Know)

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
2. Christian Bale, The Fighter
3. Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
4. Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
5. Justin Timberlake, The Social Network
(If six, Jack Nicholson, How Do You Know)

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
2. Kristin Scott Thomas, Nowhere Boy
3. Rosamund Pike, Barney's Version
4. Melissa Leo, The Fighter
5. Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
(If six, Rooney Mara, The Social Network)

Best Screenplay:
1. The Social Network
2. The Kids Are All Right
3. The King's Speech
4. Inception
5. Toy Story 3
(If six, Rabbit Hole)

Best Animated Feature:
1. Toy Story 3
2. Tangled
3. How to Train Your Dragon
4. Despicable Me
5. The Illusionist
(If six, Megamind)

Best Score:
1. The Social Network
2. Inception
3. True Grit
4. 127 Hours
5. The King's Speech
(If six, How to Train Your Dragon)

Best Song:
1. "I See the Light," Tangled
2. "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," Burlesque
3. "We Belong Together," Toy Story 3
4. "Today Was a Fairytale," Valentine's Day
5. "If I Rise," 127 Hours
(If six, "Shine," Waiting for "Superman")

Best Foreign Film:
1. Biutiful, Mexico
2. I Am Love, France
3. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, Sweden
4. Carlos, France
5. Mother, South Korea

Best Drama Series:
1. Mad Men
2. Boardwalk Empire
3. Dexter
4. True Blood
5. The Walking Dead
(If six, In Treatment

Best Actor-Drama:
1. Jon Hamm, Mad Men
2. Michael C. Hall, Dexter
3. Gabriel Byrne, In Treatment
4. Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
5. Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
(If six, Andrew Lincoln, The Walking Dead)

Best Actress-Drama:
1. Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
2. Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer
3. Anna Paquin, True Blood
4. Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
5. Glenn Close, Damages
(If six, Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire)

Best Comedy/Musical Series:
1. Glee
2. Modern Family
3. 30 Rock
4. The Big C
5. Entourage
(If six, Nurse Jackie)

Best Actor-Comedy/Musical:
1. Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
2. Steve Carell, The Office
3. Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
4. Ed O'Neill, Modern Family
5. Matthew Morrison, Glee
(If six, Joel McHale, Community)

Best Actress-Comedy/Musical:
1. Laura Linney, The Big C
2. Toni Collette, The United States of Tara
3. Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
4. Tina Fey, 30 Rock
5. Mary-Louise Parker, Weeds
(If six, Lea Michele, Glee)

Best TV Movie/Miniseries:
1. The Pacific
2. Temple Grandin
3. You Don't Know Jack
4. The Special Relationship
5. Return to Cranford
(If six, The Pillars of the Earth)

Best Actor-M/M:
1. Al Pacino, You Don't Know Jack
2. Dennis Quaid, The Special Relationship
3. Michael Sheen, The Special Relationship
4. Kenneth Branagh, Wallander
5. Ian McShane, The Pillars of the Earth
(If six, James Badge Dale, The Pacific)

Best Actress-M/M:
1. Claire Danes, Temple Grandin
2. Hope Davis, The Special Relationship
3. Judi Dench, Return to Cranford
4. Winona Ryder, When Love Is Not Enough: The Lois Wilson Story
5. Romola Garai, Emma
(If six, Maggie Smith, Capturing Mary)

Best Supporting Actor:
1. David Strathairn, Temple Grandin
2. Chris Colfer, Glee
3. John Goodman, You Don't Know Jack
4. Oliver Platt, The Big C
5. Jeremy Piven, Entourage
(If six, Ty Burrell, Modern Family)

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Jane Lynch, Glee
2. Susan Sarandon, You Don't Know Jack
3. Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
4. Julia Ormond, Temple Grandin
5. Debra Winger, In Treatment
(If six, Christina Hendricks, Mad Men)