Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Final 2014/2015 Emmy Predix

Comedy Series:
The Big Bang Theory
Louie
Modern Family
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Veep

Lead Actor-Comedy:
Louis C.K., Louie
Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth
William H. Macy, Shameless
Thomas Middleditch, Silicon Valley
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

Lead Actress-Comedy:
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

Supporting Actor-Comedy:
Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Tony Hale, Veep
Hugh Laurie, Veep
Tony Shalhoub, Nurse Jackie

Supporting Actress-Comedy:
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Anna Chlumsky, Veep
Allison Janney, Mom
Carol Kane, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Judith Light, Transparent
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live

Guest Actor-Comedy:
Mel Brooks, The Comedians
Jon Hamm, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Dwayne Johnson, Saturday Night Live
Nathan Lane, Modern Family
Billy Bob Thornton, The Big Bang Theory
Bradley Whitford, Transparent

Guest Actress-Comedy:
Elizabeth Banks, Modern Family
Christine Baranski, The Big Bang Theory
Joan Cusack, Shameless
Susie Essman, Broad City
Tina Fey, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Kyra Sedgwick, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

Writing-Comedy:
Episodes “Episode 409”
Louie “Bobby’s House”
Transparent “Pilot”
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt “Kimmy Goes Outside!”
Veep “Election Night”

Directing-Comedy:
Louie “Sleepover”
Modern Family “Connection Lost”
Silicon Valley “Two Days of the Condor”
Transparent “Best New Girl”
Veep “Testimony”

Drama Series:
Better Call Saul
Downton Abbey
Empire
Game of Thrones
House of Cards
Mad Men
Orange is the New Black

Lead Actor-Drama:
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Terrence Howard, Empire
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Clive Owen, The Knick
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

Lead Actress-Drama:
Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Taylor Schilling, Orange is the New Black
Kerry Washington, Scandal
Ruth Wilson, The Affair
Robin Wright, House of Cards

Supporting Actor-Drama:
Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
Jim Carter, Downton Abbey
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Kit Harrington, Game of Thrones
Joe Morton, Scandal
Jussie Smollett, Empire

Supporting Actress-Drama:
Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Kate Mulgrew, Orange is the New Black
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Lorraine Toussaint, Orange is the New Black

Guest Actor-Drama:
Beau Bridges, Masters of Sex
Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife
Robert Morse, Mad Men
Mark Moses, Mad Men
David Hyde Pierce, The Good Wife
Courtney B. Vance, Scandal

Guest Actress-Drama:
Kate Burton, Scandal
Allison Janney, Masters of Sex
Linda Lavin, The Good Wife
Margo Martindale, The Americans
Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones
Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder

Writing-Drama:
The Affair “Episode 1 (Pilot)”
Downton Abbey “Episode 8”
Game of Thrones “Mother’s Mercy”
Mad Men “Person to Person”
Orange is the New Black “We Have Manners. We’re Polite.”

Directing-Drama:
Better Call Saul “Uno”
Boardwalk Empire “Eldorado”
Empire “Pilot”
Game of Thrones “Mother’s Mercy”
Orange is the New Black “Thirsty Bird”

Limited Series:
American Crime
American Horror Story: Freak Show
The Honorable Woman
Olive Kitteridge
Wolf Hall

TV Movie:
Bessie
Derek Special
Foyle’s War: Elise, The Final Mystery
Nightingale
Worricker: Salting the Battlefield

Lead Actor-Limited Series/Movie:
Ricky Gervais, Derek Special
Richard Jenkins, Olive Kitteridge
Nathan Lane, The Nance
David Oyelowo, Nightingale
Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall
Kiefer Sutherland, 24: Live Another Day

Lead Actress-Limited Series/Movie:
Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honorable Woman
Felicity Huffman, American Crime
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Queen Latifah, Bessie
Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge
Emma Thompson, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

Supporting Actor-Limited Series/Movie:
Michael Chiklis, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Ralph Fiennes, Worricker: Salting the Battlefield
Damian Lewis, Wolf Hall
Bill Murray, Olive Kitteridge
Jonathan Pryce, Wolf Hall
Stephen Rea, The Honorable Woman

Supporting Actress-Limited Series/Movie:
Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Judy Davis, Worricker: Salting the Battlefield
Janet McTeer, The Honorable Woman
Mo’Nique, Bessie
Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Susan Sarandon, The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe

Writing-Limited Series/Movie/Special:
Bessie
Derek Special
The Honorable Woman
Olive Kitteridge
Wolf Hall

Directing-Limited Series/Movie/Special:
American Horror Story: Freak Show “Monsters Among Us”
Bessie
The Honorable Woman
Olive Kitteridge
Wolf Hall

Variety Talk Series:
The Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Jimmy Kimmel Live
Late Show with David Letterman
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

Variety Sketch Series:
Drunk History
Inside Amy Schumer
Key & Peele
Kroll Show
Portlandia
Saturday Night Live

Variety Special:
Bill Maher: Live from D.C.
The Kennedy Center Honors
Louis C.K.: Live at the Comedy Store
Mel Brooks Live at the Geffen
The Saturday Night Live 40th Anniversary Special
Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga: Cheek to Cheek Live

Writing-Variety Series:
The Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Inside Amy Schumer
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Portlandia

Directing-Variety Series:
The Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Inside Amy Schumer
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Late Show with David Letterman

Writing-Variety Special:
Aziz Ansari: Live at Madison Square Garden
Bill Maher: Live from D.C.
Chelsea Handler: Uganda Be Kidding Me, Live
The 72nd Annual Golden Globe Awards
Louis C.K.: Live At the Comedy Store

Directing-Variety Special:
Beyoncé and Jay Z On the Run
The Kennedy Center Honors
Louis C.K.: Live at the Comedy Store
2015 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony
68th Annual Tony Awards

Reality-Competition Program:
The Amazing Race
Dancing with the Stars
Project Runway
So You Think You Can Dance
Top Chef
The Voice

Host-Reality/Reality-Competition Program:
Tom Bergeron, Dancing with the Stars
Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance
Phil Keoghan, The Amazing Race
Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn, Project Runway
Jane Lynch, Hollywood Game Night
RuPaul, RuPaul’s Drag Race

Saturday, June 27, 2015

Best Lead Actress-Comedy Contenders

All of last year's nominees are eligible, except for Taylor Schilling, as Orange is the New Black will be competing in the Drama categories.

Lock:
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

The three-time returning champ. It would be a huge upset if she misses. She could very likely make it four in a row.

Solid:
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Goodbye nominations usually happen here, even for performers and shows that are not immediately on the Academy's radar (see Laura Dern for Enlightened, Bonnie Hunt for Life with Bonnie and Stockard Channing for Out of Practice). So it would be a surprise, but not a shock, if they drop Falco and Poehler who have been nominated for every season (save P&R short first season). Falco won in her first year of eligibility and Poehler is still seen as overdue (but that didn't help Jane Kaczmarek for Malcolm in the Middle).

Fighting It Out:
Jane Fonda, Grace and Frankie
Lisa Kudrow, The Comeback
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer 
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

That leaves three spots. The lazy choice is simply put in McCarthy, Lena Dunham and one more lady. However, Girls dipped significantly in quality and buzz, so Dunham drops to the next group of ladies. It could be Grace and Frankie co-stars, Fonda and Tomlin, although will voters nominated both, neither or actually pick one over the other (which might tip the scales for Tomlin). Schumer has had quite a year and a very visible higher profile. They did nominate Sarah Silverman for The Sarah Silverman Program, so a nomination for Schumer wouldn't be a big stretch, especially since she's coming in with a Critics' Choice Award (and possibly the Television Critics Association Award). But if they do drop McCarthy (despite the big box office for Spy), who gets the last spot? That leaves a former nominee in this category, Kudrow, who was respected enough to be nominated the first time The Comeback was on, even with it being a cancelled show. Perhaps she can do it again?

Spoilers:
Lena Dunham, Girls
Ilana Glazer, Broad City
Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Gina Rodriguez, Jane the Virgin
Constance Wu, Fresh Off the Boat

Dunham probably isn't even the most likely to spoil from this list. That's Kemper, who seemed like a shoo-in, until the bigger names of Fonda and Tomlin showed up to represent Netflix. The Critics' Choice Awards nominated Glazer, Rodriguez and Wu, but all three stand big obstacles to get in. Glazer still has competition with her co-star and Comedy Central's other darling, Schumer. Rodriguez has the Golden Globe, but we know that doesn't hold a lot of weight here, plus she's on the CW and skews very young. Wu is on a mid-season replacement, as the overbearing and exasperated mother. We've seen this work in the past (Kaczmarek, Louis-Dreyfus for The New Adventures of Old Christine), but Wu still seems too new to the scene.

Longshots:
Anna Faris, Mom
Abbi Jacobson, Broad City
Tracee Ellis Ross, blackish
Emmy Rossum, Shameless
Kristen Schaal, The Last Man on Earth

If voters started to watch Mom for Allison Janney, that might benefit Faris, but doesn't seem likely. Jacobson is coming in third in Comedy Central's lineup for a big push here. ABC has a better shot with Wu than Ross, even though black-ish was a bigger hit and Ross is more well-known among actors. Schaal would need The Last Man on Earth to show up everywhere and right now, I'm betting on just Will Forte being recognized. And Rossum can once again sit quietly while the showier parts of the show get attention, while she goes unrewarded...again.

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Current Oscar Chart

What I'm currently thinking...

Best Picture:
LOCKS
1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. American Hustle

SAFE
4. Captain Phillips
5. Nebraska

NOT SAFE
6. Her
7. Inside Llewyn Davis
8. The Wolf of Wall Street
9. Dallas Buyers Club
10. Saving Mr. Banks

SPOILERS:
11. Lee Daniels' The Butler
12. Fruitvale Station
13. August: Osage County
14. Philomena
15. Rush

Best Director:
LOCKS
1. Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
2. Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity

SAFE
3. David O. Russell, American Hustle
4. Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips

DUKING IT OUT
5. Spike Jonze, Her
6. Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Alexander Payne, Nebraska

SPOILERS
8. Ethan and Joel Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
9. Lee Daniels, Lee Daniels' The Butler
10. Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station

Best Lead Actor:
LOCKS
1. Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
2. Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
3. Bruce Dern, Nebraska

DUKING IT OUT
4. Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
5. Robert Redford, All is Lost
6. Christian Bale, American Hustle
7. Forest Whitaker, Lee Daniels' The Butler

SPOILERS
8. Joaquin Phoenix, Her
9. Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
10. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
11. Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
12. Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

Best Lead Actress:
LOCKS
1. Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
2. Sandra Bullock, Gravity

SAFE
3. Judi Dench, Philomena

DUKING IT OUT
4. Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
5. Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
6. Amy Adams, American Hustle

SPOILERS
7. Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
8. Brie Larson, Short Term 12
9. Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
10. Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
11. Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha

Best Supporting Actor:
LOCKS
1. Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
2. Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave

SAFE
3. Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
4. Daniel Bruhl, Rush

DUKING IT OUT
5. Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
6. James Gandolfini, Enough Said
7. Will Forte, Nebraska
8. Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street

SPOILERS
9. Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
10. Jeremy Renner, American Hustle
11. James Franco, Spring Breakers

Best Supporting Actress:
LOCKS
1. Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
2. Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle

SAFE
3. June Squibb, Nebraska
4. Julia Roberts, August: Osage County

DUKING IT OUT
5. Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler
6. Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
7. Scarlett Johansson, Her
8. Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station

SPOILERS
9. Lea Seydoux, Blue is the Warmest Color
10. Sarah Paulson, 12 Years a Slave
11. Jennifer Garner, Dallas Buyers Club
12. Margot Robbie, The Wolf of Wall Street

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

August Oscar Predictions

The fall festivals will be starting soon and telling us a little more about what to expect. So here goes nothing!

National Board of Review:
Best Film: American Hustle
Top 10: August: Osage County, Before Midnight, The Fifth Estate, Inside Llewyn Davis, Lee Daniels' The Butler, The Monuments Men, Rush, The Spectacular Now, 12 Years a Slave and The Wolf of Wall Street.

Best Director: David O. Russell, American Hustle
Best Debut Director: Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station

Best Lead Actor: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Best Lead Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Bruhl, The Fifth Estate and Rush
Best Supporting Actress: Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Best Breakthrough Male: Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
Best Breakthrough Female: Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
Best Ensemble: August: Osage County

Best Original Screenplay: American Hustle
Best Adapted Screenplay: Before Midnight

Los Angeles Film Critics Association:
Best Film: Before Midnight
(Runner-Up: American Hustle)

Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
(Runner-Up: David O. Russell, American Hustle)

Best Lead Actor: Robert Redford, All is Lost
(Runner-Up: Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)

Best Lead Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
(Runner-Up: Julie Delpy, Before Midnight)

Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, The Way Way Back
(Runner-Up: Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave)

Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
(Runner-Up: Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine)

Best Screenplay: Before Midnight
(Runner-Up: American Hustle)

New York Film Critics Circle:
Best Film: 12 Years a Slave
(Runner-Up: The Wolf of Wall Street)

Best Director: Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
(Runner-Up: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity)

Best Lead Actor: Chiwetel Ejifor, 12 Years a Slave
(Runner-Up: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Great Gatsby and The Wolf of Wall Street)

Best Lead Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
(Runner-Up: Sandra Bullock, Gravity)

Best Supporting Actor: Sam Shepard, August: Osage County
(Runner-Up: Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street)

Best Supporting Actress: Cristin Milioti, The Wolf of Wall Street
(Runner-Up: Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine)

Best Screenplay: Blue Jasmine
(Runner-Up: The Wolf of Wall Street)

National Society of Film Critics:
Best Film: Before Midnight
(Runner-Up: Gravity)

Best Director: Richard Linklater, Before Midnight
(Runner-Up: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity)

Best Lead Actor: Robert Redford, All is Lost
(Runner-Up: Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips and Saving Mr. Banks)

Best Lead Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
(Runner-Up: Julie Delpy, Before Midnight)

Best Supporting Actor: John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis and The Monuments Men
(Runner-Up: Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave)

Best Supporting Actress: Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
(Runner-Up: Margo Martindale, August: Osage County)

Best Screenplay: Before Midnight
(Runner-Up: Inside Llewyn Davis)

Broadcast Film Critics Association:
Best Film:
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
Blue Jasmine
Fruitvale Station
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Director:
David O. Russell, American Hustle
John Wells, August: Osage County
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
George Clooney, The Monuments Men
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Lead Actor:
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All is Lost

Best Lead Actress:
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County 
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks 

Best Supporting Actor:
Daniel Bruhl, Rush
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jeremy Renner, American Hustle
Sam Shepard, August: Osage County

Best Supporting Actress:
Naomie Harris, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Cristin Milioti, The Wolf of Wall Street
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station

Best Original Screenplay:
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
The Counselor
Fruitvale Station
Inside Llewyn Davis
Saving Mr. Banks

Best Adapted Screenplay:
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
The Monuments Men
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Golden Globe Awards:
Best Picture-Drama:
American Hustle
August: Osage County
The Monuments Men
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Picture-Comedy/Musical:
About Time
Inside Llewyn Davis
Saving Mr. Banks
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
The Way Way Back

Best Director:
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
George Clooney, The Monuments Men
Ethan and Joel Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
John Wells, August: Osage County

Best Actor-Drama:
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejifor, 12 Years a Slave
Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress-Drama:
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench, Philomena
Nicole Kidman, Grace of Monaco
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Best Actor-Comedy/Musical:
James Gandolfini, Enough Said
Domhnall Gleeson, About Time
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Don Jon
Oscar Isaacs, Inside Llewyn Davis
Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Best Actress-Comedy/Musical:
Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
Rachel MacAdams, About Time
Melissa McCarthy, The Heat
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

Best Supporting Actor:
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Bill Murray, The Monuments Men
Jeremy Renner, American Hustle
Sam Shephard, August: Osage County

Best Supporting Actress:
Naomie Harris, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Kristen Wiig, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Best Screenplay:
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Blue Jasmine
The Monuments Men
The Way Way Back
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Score:
August: Osage County
Grace of Monaco
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Screen Actors Guild:
Best Ensemble:
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role:
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Chiwetel Ejifor, 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All is Lost

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role:
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role:
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jeremy Renner, American Hustle
Sam Shephard, August: Osage County

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role:
Naomie Harris, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station

Writers Guild of America:
Original Screenplay:
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
The Counselor
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Way Way Back

Adapted Screenplay:
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
The Monuments Men
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Producers Guild of America:
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Blue Jasmine
Captain Phillips
Inside Llewyn Davis
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Directors Guild of America:
George Clooney, The Monuments Men
Ethan and Joel Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
John Wells, August: Osage County

Academy Awards:
Best Picture:
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
Blue Jasmine
Inside Llewyn Davis
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Director:
David O. Russell, American Hustle
John Wells, August: Osage County
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
Ethan and Joel Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave

Best Lead Actor:
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All is Lost

Best Lead Actress:
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County 
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

Best Supporting Actor:
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jeremy Renner, American Hustle
Sam Shepard, August: Osage County

Best Supporting Actress:
Naomie Harris, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station

Best Original Screenplay:
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
The Counselor
Fruitvale Station
Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Adapted Screenplay:
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
The Monuments Men
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Cinematography:
American Hustle 
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Costume Design:
American Hustle 
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave

Best Film Editing:
American Hustle
August: Osage County 
The Counselor
The Monuments Men
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
12 Years a Slave
Rush
Saving Mr. Banks

Best Original Score:
American Hustle
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years of Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Production Design:
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks

Best Sound Mixing:
American Hustle 
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men

Best Sound Editing:
The Counselor
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
The Monuments Men
Rush

Best Visual Effects: 
Elysium
Ender's Game
Gravity
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Totals:
American Hustle: 12
The Monuments Men: 9
12 Years a Slave: 9
August: Osage County: 8
Inside Llewyn Davis: 8
Saving Mr. Banks: 7
The Wolf of Wall Street: 6
Blue Jasmine: 5
The Counselor: 3
Gravity: 3
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug: 3
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom: 3
Before Midnight: 2
Fruitvale Station: 2
Rush: 2

Ranks:
Best Picture:
1. American Hustle
2. August: Osage County
3. The Monuments Men
4. The Wolf of Wall Street
5. 12 Years a Slave
6. Saving Mr. Banks
7. Inside Llewyn Davis
8. Before Midnight
9. Blue Jasmine
10. Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
********************************
11. Captain Phillips
12. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
13. Fruitvale Station
14. All is Lost
15. Gravity
16. The Counselor
17. Labor Day
18. Rush
19. The Fifth Estate
20. Nebraska
21. Her
22. Lee Daniels' The Butler
23. Dallas Buyers Club
24. The Past
25. The Way Way Back

Best Director:
1. David O. Russell, American Hustle
2. John Wells, August: Osage County
3. Ethan and Joel Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
4. Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
5. Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
******************************** 
6. Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
7. George Clooney, The Monuments Men
8. Richard Linklater, Before Midnight
9. John Lee Hancock, Saving Mr. Banks
10. Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
11. Justin Chadwick, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
12. Ron Howard, Rush
13. Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
14. Ridley Scott, The Counselor
15. Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station
16. Spike Jonze, Her
17. Bill Condon, The Fifth Estate
18. Asghar Farhadi, The Past
19. Alexander Payne, Nebraska
20. Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
21. Lee Daniels, Lee Daniels' The Butler
22. Jason Reitman, Labor Day
23. J.C. Chandor, All is Lost
24. Jean-Marc Vallée, Dallas Buyers Club
25. Stephen Frears, Philomena

Best Lead Actor:
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
2. Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
3. Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
4. Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
5. Robert Redford, All is Lost
******************************** 
6. Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
7. Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
8. Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
9. Christian Bale, American Hustle
10. Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
11. George Clooney, The Monuments Men
12. Bruce Dern, Nebraska
13. Michael Fassbender, The Counselor
14. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Fifth Estate
15. Ethan Hawke, The Spectacular Now
16. Forest Whitaker, Lee Daniels' The Butler
17. Joaquin Phoenix, Her
18. Josh Brolin, Labor Day
19. Miles Teller, The Spectacular Now
20. Chris Hemsworth, Rush

Best Lead Actress:
1. Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
2. Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
3. Amy Adams, American Hustle
4. Judi Dench, Philomena
5. Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks 
***********************************
6. Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
7. Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
8. Nicole Kidman, Grace of Monaco
9. Sandra Bullock, Gravity
10. Naomi Watts, Diana
11. Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
12. Berenice Bejo, The Past
13. Brie Larson, Short Term 12
14. Kate Winslet, Labor Day
15. Marion Cotillard, The Immigrant
16. Shailene Woodley, The Spectacular Now
17. Adele Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
18. Reese Witherspoon, The Good Lie
19. Rachel MacAdams, About Time
20. Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
2. Sam Shepard, August: Osage County
3. John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis
4. Jeremy Renner, American Hustle
5. Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
**********************************
6. Daniel Bruhl, Rush
7. Bill Murray, The Monuments Men
8. Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
9. Tim Roth, Grace of Monaco
10. Matthew McConaughey, The Wolf of Wall Street
11. James Franco, Spring Breakers
12. Ewan McGregor, August: Osage County
13. Sam Rockwell, The Way Way Back
14. Javier Bardem, The Counselor
15. Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
16. Geoffrey Rush, The Book Thief
17. John Goodman, The Monuments Men
18. Steve Coogan, Philomena
19. Matt Damon, The Monuments Men
20. Colin Farrell, Saving Mr. Banks
21. Stacy Keach, Nebraska
22. Will Forte, Nebraska
23. Bob Balaban, The Monuments Men
24. Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
25. George Clooney, Gravity
26. Daniel Bruhl, The Fifth Estate
27. Jean Dujardin, The Monuments Men
28. Brad Pitt, The Counselor
29. Jeremy Renner, The Immigrant
30. Hugh Bonneville, The Monuments Men

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Margo Martindale, August: Osage County
2. Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
3. Naomie Harris, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
4. Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
5. Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
******************************************
6. Cristin Milioti, The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Kristen Wiig, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
8. Cameron Diaz, The Counselor
9. Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
10. Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler
11. Rachel Griffiths, Saving Mr. Banks
12. Juliette Lewis, August: Osage County
13. Amy Adams, Her
14. Penelope Cruz, The Counselor
15. Carey Mulligan, Inside Llewyn Davis
16. Sarah Paulson, 12 Years a Slave
17. Jennifer Garner, Dallas Buyers Club
18. Julianne Nicholson, August: Osage County
19. Cate Blanchett, The Monuments Men
20. Emily Watson, The Book Thief
21. June Squibb, Nebraska
22. Rooney Mara, Her
23. Margot Robbie, The Wolf of Wall Street
24. Misty Upham, August: Osage County
25. Catherine Keener, Captain Phillips
26. Olivia Wilde, Rush
27. Allison Janney, The Way Way Back
28. Catherine Keener, Enough Said
29. Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
30. Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Sunday, April 21, 2013

Top TV of 2012

I forgot to post these lists. Whoops.


Top 10 Breakthroughs of 2012:
10. Blake Jenner, Samuel Larsen and Alex Newell, Glee
9. Andrew Rannells and Adam Driver, Girls
8. Gwendoline Christie, Game of Thrones
7. Jake Cannavale, Nurse Jackie
6. Kaitlyn Jenkins and Julia Telles, Bunheads
5. Allison Williams, Girls
4. Aidy Bryant, Kate McKinnon and Cecily Strong, Saturday Night Live
3. Clare Bowen and Sam Palladio, Nashville
2. Melissa Benoist, Glee
1. Lena Dunham, Girls

Top 10 Episodes of 2012:
10. Parks and Recreation "Sex Education"
9. Happy Endings "The Butterfly Effect Effect"
8. Modern Family "Mistery Date"
7. Girls "All Adventurous Women Do"
6. Mad Men "The Other Woman"
5. Game of Thrones "Blackwater"
4. Homeland "New Car Smell"
3. Louie "Miami"
2. Community "Basic Lupine Urology"
1. Breaking Bad "Fifty One"

Top 10 Performers of 2012:
10. Bobby Cannavale, Boardwalk Empire and Nurse Jackie
9. Christina Henricks, Mad Men
8. Julianne Moore, Game Change
7. The Ensemble of Downton Abbey
6. Lena Dunham, Girls
5. Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep) and Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation)
4. Claire Danes, Damian Lewis and Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
3. Eliza Coupe and Damon Wayans Jr., Happy Endings
2. Bryan Cranston, Aaron Paul, Anna Gunn and Jonathan Banks, Breaking Bad
1. Louis C.K., Louie

Top 20 Television Programs of 2012:
20. Game Change
19. Nurse Jackie
18. How I Met Your Mother
17. 30 Rock
16. Cougar Town
15. Parenthood
14. The Good Wife
13. Boardwalk Empire
12. Downton Abbey
11. Happy Endings
10. Veep
9. Modern Family
8. Game of Thrones
7. Girls
6. Louie
5. Community
4. Homeland
3. Parks and Recreation
2. Mad Men
1. Breaking Bad

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Final Oscar Predictions 2012


Best Picture:
1. Argo
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Lincoln
4. Life of Pi
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild*
6. Amour
7. Zero Dark Thirty
8. Les Miserables
9. Django Unchained
Should Have Been Nominated: The Perks of Being a Wallflower

Best Director:
1. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
2. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
3. Ang Lee, Life of Pi
4. Michael Haneke, Amour
5. Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild*
Should Have Been Nominated: Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Lead Actor:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
2. Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
3. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master*
4. Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
5. Denzel Washington, Flight
Should Have Been Nominated: Logan Lerman, The Perks of Being a Wallflower

Best Lead Actress:
1. Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
2. Emmanuelle Riva, Amour*
3. Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
4. Naomi Watts, The Impossible
5. Quvenhzane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Should Have Been Nominated: Ann Dowd, Compliance

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln*
2. Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
3. Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
4. Alan Arkin, Argo
5. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Should Have Been Nominated: Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2. Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
3. Sally Field, Lincoln*
4. Helen Hunt, The Sessions
5. Amy Adams, The Master
Should Have Been Nominated: Jennifer Ehle, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Original Screenplay:
1. Amour
2. Django Unchained
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Moonrise Kingdom*
5. Flight
Should Have Been Nominated: The Master

Best Adapted Screenplay:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Beasts of the Southern Wild*
5. Life of Pi
Should Have Been Nominated: The Perks of Being a Wallflower

Best Animated Film:
1. Wreck-It Ralph
2. Brave
3. Frankenweenie
4. ParaNorman
5. The Pirates!

Best Documentary:
1. Searching for Sugar Man
2. The Gatekeepers
3. The Invisible War
4. How to Survive a Plague
5. Five Broken Cameras

Best Foreign Language Film:
1. Amour
2. War Witch
3. A Royal Affair
4. No
5. Kon-Tiki

Best Cinematography:
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall*
3. Lincoln
4. Anna Karenina
5. Django Unchained
Should Have Been Nominated: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Costume Design:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Mirror Mirror
3. Les Miserables
4. Lincoln*
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Should Have Been Nominated: Argo

Best Film Editing:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Zero Dark Thirty*
5. Life of Pi
Should Have Been Nominated: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
1. Les Miserables*
2. The Hobbit
3. Hitchcock
Should Have Been Nominated: Lincoln

Best Original Score:
1. Life of Pi*
2. Argo
3. Skyfall
4. Lincoln
5. Anna Karenina
Should Have Been Nominated: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Original Song:
1. "Skyfall," Skyfall*
2. "Everybody Needs a Friend," Ted
3. "Pi's Lullaby," Life of Pi
4. "Suddenly," Les Miserables
5. "Before My Time," Chasing Ice
Should Have Been Nominated: "Who Did That To You," Django Unchained

Best Production Design:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Miserables
3. Life of Pi
4. Lincoln*
5. The Hobbit
Should Have Been Nominated: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Sound Mixing:
1. Les Miserables
2. Argo
3. Skyfall
4. Life of Pi
5. Lincoln*
Should Have Been Nominated: Zero Dark Thirty

Best Sound Editing:
1. Skyfall
2. Argo
3. Life of Pi
4. Zero Dark Thirty*
5. Django Unchained
Should Have Been Nominated: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Visual Effects:
1. Life of Pi*
2. The Hobbit
3. The Avengers
4. Prometheus
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Should Have Been Nominated: Skyfall

Best Animated Short:
1. Paperman
2. Adam and Dog
3. Head Over Heels
4. Fresh Guacamole
5. Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare

Best Documentary Short:
1. Mondays at Racine
2. Inocente
3. Open Heart
4. Redemption
5. Kings Point

Best Live Action Short:
1. Death of a Shadow
2. Curfew
3. Asad
4. Buzkashi Boys
5. Henry

Wednesday, January 9, 2013

Final Oscar Predictions 2012

Best Picture:
Argo
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
*Sticking with the top 6 here. If there is 7, Amour. If 8, Moonrise Kingdom. If 9, Django Unchained. If 10, Beasts of the Southern Wild.

Best Director:
Ben Affleck, Argo
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
*Sticking with Russell, based on their perceived love for the film. Hooper got the DGA nod, but missed a BAFTA and that was probably a bigger deal than Spielberg missing. I have Michael Haneke (Amour) in 7th, followed by Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master) in 8th, but both would be a lone director without a BP nod.

Best Lead Actor:
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Denzel Washington, Flight
*I kept Joaquin Phoenix this whole time, but after going back and forth over the SAG snub, I think voters will leave him off just because he hasn't been playing the game as much as Cooper/Hawkes/Jackman. Washington has been a bit quiet too, but they love him.

Best Lead Actress:
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
*I'm getting very worried about Helen Mirren (Hitchock). I really hope that doesn't happen. In 7th would be Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild) followed by Rachel Weisz (The Deep Blue Sea).

Best Supporting Actor:
Alan Arkin, Argo
Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
*I actually think Javier Bardem is now in the 5th spot, but I refuse to predict big category chances for Skyfall (the multiple tech nods is already a lot). DiCaprio is hanging by the strength of his NBR win, but Christoph Waltz is seriously stealing votes from him. Matthew McConaughey (Magic Mike) needed some biggie from the industry to support him (but at least he'll win the Indie Spirit) and Eddie Redmayne (Les Miserables) needs to hope they really love the film.

Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, The Master
Ann Dowd, Compliance
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
*Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy) is in a stinker of a film that I doubt voters will watch. Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel) missed at BAFTA, but America has Downton Abbey fever. Still, I think that won't translate anymore. I really want to predict an upset from Jennifer Ehle (Zero Dark Thirty) but instead I went with Dowd.

Best Original Screenplay:
Amour
Django Unchained
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty
Next in Line: Looper

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Silver Linings Playbook
Next in Line: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Animated Feature:
Brave
Frankenweeenie
The Painting
ParaNorman
Wreck-It Ralph

Best Foreign Film:
Amour, Austria
The Intouchables, France
Kon Tiki, Norway
A Royal Affair, Sweden
War Witch, Canada

Best Documentary:
The Gatekeepers
The Invisible War
Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God
Searching for Sugar Man
This is Not a Film

Best Cinematography:
Anna Karenina
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Next in Line: Argo, Cloud Atlas, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, The Master

Best Costume Design:
Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Lincoln
A Royal Affair
Next in Line: Argo, Hitchcock, The Master, Mirror Mirror, Snow White and the Huntsman

Best Film Editing:
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Next in Line: Django Unchained, Flight, Les Miserables, Looper, Silver Linings Playbook

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Men in Black 3
Next in Line: Hitchcock, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Looper

Best Original Score:
Anna Karenina
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty
Next in Line: Beasts of the Southern Wild, Cloud Atlas, The Master, On the Road, Skyfall

Best Original Song:
“From Here to the Moon and Back,” Joyful Noise (Dolly Parton and Kris Kristofferson)
“Learn Me Right,” Brave (Mumford and Sons and Birdy)
“Skyfall,” Skyfall (Adele)
“Still Alive,” Paul Williams: Still Alive (Paul Williams)
“Suddenly,” Les Miserables (Hugh Jackman)
Next in Line: “Ancora Qui,” Django Unchained; “Breath of Life,” Snow White and the Huntsman; “Pi’s Lullaby,” Life of Pi; “Touch the Sky,” Brave; “Who Did That to You,” Django Unchained

Best Production Design:
Anna Karenina
Cloud Atlas
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Next in Line: Argo, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, The Master, Prometheus, Skyfall

Best Sound Editing:
The Avengers
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Next in Line: Cloud Atlas, The Dark Knight Rises, Django Unchained, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Life of Pi

Best Sound Mixing:
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Next in Line: Argo, The Avengers, The Dark Knight Rises, Django Unchained, Life of Pi

Best Visual Effects:
The Avengers
The Dark Knight Rises
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Next in Line: The Amazing Spider-Man, Cloud Atlas, John Carter, Prometheus, Snow White and the Huntsman

Best Animated Short:
Adam and Dog
Dripped
The Eagleman Stag
Head Over Heels
Paperman

Best Documentary Short:
The Education of Mohammad Hussein
Inocente
Mondays at Racine
Open Heart

Best Live Action Short:
Asad
Curfew
Death of a Shadow
The Night Shift Belongs to the Stars
when you find me

Totals:
Lincoln: 14
Les Miserables: 9
Zero Dark Thirty: 9
Life of Pi: 7
Argo: 6
Silver Linings Playbook: 6
Skyfall: 6
Anna Karenina: 4
Django Unchained: 4
Amour: 3
The Master: 3
The Avengers: 2
Brave: 2
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey: 2
A Royal Affair: 2
The Sessions: 2