Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Final 2014/2015 Emmy Predix

Comedy Series:
The Big Bang Theory
Modern Family
Silicon Valley
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Lead Actor-Comedy:
Louis C.K., Louie
Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth
William H. Macy, Shameless
Thomas Middleditch, Silicon Valley
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

Lead Actress-Comedy:
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

Supporting Actor-Comedy:
Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Tony Hale, Veep
Hugh Laurie, Veep
Tony Shalhoub, Nurse Jackie

Supporting Actress-Comedy:
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Anna Chlumsky, Veep
Allison Janney, Mom
Carol Kane, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Judith Light, Transparent
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live

Guest Actor-Comedy:
Mel Brooks, The Comedians
Jon Hamm, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Dwayne Johnson, Saturday Night Live
Nathan Lane, Modern Family
Billy Bob Thornton, The Big Bang Theory
Bradley Whitford, Transparent

Guest Actress-Comedy:
Elizabeth Banks, Modern Family
Christine Baranski, The Big Bang Theory
Joan Cusack, Shameless
Susie Essman, Broad City
Tina Fey, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Kyra Sedgwick, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

Episodes “Episode 409”
Louie “Bobby’s House”
Transparent “Pilot”
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt “Kimmy Goes Outside!”
Veep “Election Night”

Louie “Sleepover”
Modern Family “Connection Lost”
Silicon Valley “Two Days of the Condor”
Transparent “Best New Girl”
Veep “Testimony”

Drama Series:
Better Call Saul
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
House of Cards
Mad Men
Orange is the New Black

Lead Actor-Drama:
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Terrence Howard, Empire
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Clive Owen, The Knick
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

Lead Actress-Drama:
Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Taylor Schilling, Orange is the New Black
Kerry Washington, Scandal
Ruth Wilson, The Affair
Robin Wright, House of Cards

Supporting Actor-Drama:
Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
Jim Carter, Downton Abbey
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Kit Harrington, Game of Thrones
Joe Morton, Scandal
Jussie Smollett, Empire

Supporting Actress-Drama:
Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Kate Mulgrew, Orange is the New Black
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Lorraine Toussaint, Orange is the New Black

Guest Actor-Drama:
Beau Bridges, Masters of Sex
Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife
Robert Morse, Mad Men
Mark Moses, Mad Men
David Hyde Pierce, The Good Wife
Courtney B. Vance, Scandal

Guest Actress-Drama:
Kate Burton, Scandal
Allison Janney, Masters of Sex
Linda Lavin, The Good Wife
Margo Martindale, The Americans
Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones
Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder

The Affair “Episode 1 (Pilot)”
Downton Abbey “Episode 8”
Game of Thrones “Mother’s Mercy”
Mad Men “Person to Person”
Orange is the New Black “We Have Manners. We’re Polite.”

Better Call Saul “Uno”
Boardwalk Empire “Eldorado”
Empire “Pilot”
Game of Thrones “Mother’s Mercy”
Orange is the New Black “Thirsty Bird”

Limited Series:
American Crime
American Horror Story: Freak Show
The Honorable Woman
Olive Kitteridge
Wolf Hall

TV Movie:
Derek Special
Foyle’s War: Elise, The Final Mystery
Worricker: Salting the Battlefield

Lead Actor-Limited Series/Movie:
Ricky Gervais, Derek Special
Richard Jenkins, Olive Kitteridge
Nathan Lane, The Nance
David Oyelowo, Nightingale
Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall
Kiefer Sutherland, 24: Live Another Day

Lead Actress-Limited Series/Movie:
Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honorable Woman
Felicity Huffman, American Crime
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Queen Latifah, Bessie
Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge
Emma Thompson, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

Supporting Actor-Limited Series/Movie:
Michael Chiklis, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Ralph Fiennes, Worricker: Salting the Battlefield
Damian Lewis, Wolf Hall
Bill Murray, Olive Kitteridge
Jonathan Pryce, Wolf Hall
Stephen Rea, The Honorable Woman

Supporting Actress-Limited Series/Movie:
Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Judy Davis, Worricker: Salting the Battlefield
Janet McTeer, The Honorable Woman
Mo’Nique, Bessie
Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Freak Show
Susan Sarandon, The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe

Writing-Limited Series/Movie/Special:
Derek Special
The Honorable Woman
Olive Kitteridge
Wolf Hall

Directing-Limited Series/Movie/Special:
American Horror Story: Freak Show “Monsters Among Us”
The Honorable Woman
Olive Kitteridge
Wolf Hall

Variety Talk Series:
The Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Jimmy Kimmel Live
Late Show with David Letterman
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

Variety Sketch Series:
Drunk History
Inside Amy Schumer
Key & Peele
Kroll Show
Saturday Night Live

Variety Special:
Bill Maher: Live from D.C.
The Kennedy Center Honors
Louis C.K.: Live at the Comedy Store
Mel Brooks Live at the Geffen
The Saturday Night Live 40th Anniversary Special
Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga: Cheek to Cheek Live

Writing-Variety Series:
The Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Inside Amy Schumer
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

Directing-Variety Series:
The Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Inside Amy Schumer
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Late Show with David Letterman

Writing-Variety Special:
Aziz Ansari: Live at Madison Square Garden
Bill Maher: Live from D.C.
Chelsea Handler: Uganda Be Kidding Me, Live
The 72nd Annual Golden Globe Awards
Louis C.K.: Live At the Comedy Store

Directing-Variety Special:
Beyoncé and Jay Z On the Run
The Kennedy Center Honors
Louis C.K.: Live at the Comedy Store
2015 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony
68th Annual Tony Awards

Reality-Competition Program:
The Amazing Race
Dancing with the Stars
Project Runway
So You Think You Can Dance
Top Chef
The Voice

Host-Reality/Reality-Competition Program:
Tom Bergeron, Dancing with the Stars
Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance
Phil Keoghan, The Amazing Race
Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn, Project Runway
Jane Lynch, Hollywood Game Night
RuPaul, RuPaul’s Drag Race

Saturday, June 27, 2015

Best Lead Actress-Comedy Contenders

All of last year's nominees are eligible, except for Taylor Schilling, as Orange is the New Black will be competing in the Drama categories.

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

The three-time returning champ. It would be a huge upset if she misses. She could very likely make it four in a row.

Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Goodbye nominations usually happen here, even for performers and shows that are not immediately on the Academy's radar (see Laura Dern for Enlightened, Bonnie Hunt for Life with Bonnie and Stockard Channing for Out of Practice). So it would be a surprise, but not a shock, if they drop Falco and Poehler who have been nominated for every season (save P&R short first season). Falco won in her first year of eligibility and Poehler is still seen as overdue (but that didn't help Jane Kaczmarek for Malcolm in the Middle).

Fighting It Out:
Jane Fonda, Grace and Frankie
Lisa Kudrow, The Comeback
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer 
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

That leaves three spots. The lazy choice is simply put in McCarthy, Lena Dunham and one more lady. However, Girls dipped significantly in quality and buzz, so Dunham drops to the next group of ladies. It could be Grace and Frankie co-stars, Fonda and Tomlin, although will voters nominated both, neither or actually pick one over the other (which might tip the scales for Tomlin). Schumer has had quite a year and a very visible higher profile. They did nominate Sarah Silverman for The Sarah Silverman Program, so a nomination for Schumer wouldn't be a big stretch, especially since she's coming in with a Critics' Choice Award (and possibly the Television Critics Association Award). But if they do drop McCarthy (despite the big box office for Spy), who gets the last spot? That leaves a former nominee in this category, Kudrow, who was respected enough to be nominated the first time The Comeback was on, even with it being a cancelled show. Perhaps she can do it again?

Lena Dunham, Girls
Ilana Glazer, Broad City
Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Gina Rodriguez, Jane the Virgin
Constance Wu, Fresh Off the Boat

Dunham probably isn't even the most likely to spoil from this list. That's Kemper, who seemed like a shoo-in, until the bigger names of Fonda and Tomlin showed up to represent Netflix. The Critics' Choice Awards nominated Glazer, Rodriguez and Wu, but all three stand big obstacles to get in. Glazer still has competition with her co-star and Comedy Central's other darling, Schumer. Rodriguez has the Golden Globe, but we know that doesn't hold a lot of weight here, plus she's on the CW and skews very young. Wu is on a mid-season replacement, as the overbearing and exasperated mother. We've seen this work in the past (Kaczmarek, Louis-Dreyfus for The New Adventures of Old Christine), but Wu still seems too new to the scene.

Anna Faris, Mom
Abbi Jacobson, Broad City
Tracee Ellis Ross, blackish
Emmy Rossum, Shameless
Kristen Schaal, The Last Man on Earth

If voters started to watch Mom for Allison Janney, that might benefit Faris, but doesn't seem likely. Jacobson is coming in third in Comedy Central's lineup for a big push here. ABC has a better shot with Wu than Ross, even though black-ish was a bigger hit and Ross is more well-known among actors. Schaal would need The Last Man on Earth to show up everywhere and right now, I'm betting on just Will Forte being recognized. And Rossum can once again sit quietly while the showier parts of the show get attention, while she goes unrewarded...again.