Final 2014/2015 Emmy Predix

Comedy Series:

The Big Bang Theory

Louie

Modern Family

Silicon Valley

Transparent

Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Veep

Lead Actor-Comedy:

Louis C.K., Louie

Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth

William H. Macy, Shameless

Thomas Middleditch, Silicon Valley

Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

Lead Actress-Comedy:

Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie

Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer

Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

Supporting Actor-Comedy:

Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Ty Burrell, Modern Family

Tony Hale, Veep

Hugh Laurie, Veep

Tony Shalhoub, Nurse Jackie

Supporting Actress-Comedy:

Julie Bowen, Modern Family

Anna Chlumsky, Veep

Allison Janney, Mom

Carol Kane, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Judith Light, Transparent

Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live

Guest Actor-Comedy:

Mel Brooks, The Comedians

Jon Hamm, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Dwayne Johnson, Saturday Night Live

Nathan Lane, Modern Family

Billy Bob Thornton, The Big Bang Theory

Bradley Whitford, Transparent

Guest Actress-Comedy:

Elizabeth Banks, Modern Family

Christine Baranski, The Big Bang Theory

Joan Cusack, Shameless

Susie Essman, Broad City

Tina Fey, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Kyra Sedgwick, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

Writing-Comedy:

Episodes “Episode 409”

Louie “Bobby’s House”

Transparent “Pilot”

Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt “Kimmy Goes Outside!”

Veep “Election Night”

Directing-Comedy:

Louie “Sleepover”

Modern Family “Connection Lost”

Silicon Valley “Two Days of the Condor”

Transparent “Best New Girl”

Veep “Testimony”

Drama Series:

Better Call Saul

Downton Abbey

Empire

Game of Thrones

House of Cards

Mad Men

Orange is the New Black

Lead Actor-Drama:

Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom

Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Terrence Howard, Empire

Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul

Clive Owen, The Knick

Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

Lead Actress-Drama:

Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder

Taraji P. Henson, Empire

Taylor Schilling, Orange is the New Black

Kerry Washington, Scandal

Ruth Wilson, The Affair

Robin Wright, House of Cards

Supporting Actor-Drama:

Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul

Jim Carter, Downton Abbey

Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones

Kit Harrington, Game of Thrones

Joe Morton, Scandal

Jussie Smollett, Empire

Supporting Actress-Drama:

Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black

Lena Headey, Game of Thrones

Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

Kate Mulgrew, Orange is the New Black

Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Lorraine Toussaint, Orange is the New Black

Guest Actor-Drama:

Beau Bridges, Masters of Sex

Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife

Robert Morse, Mad Men

Mark Moses, Mad Men

David Hyde Pierce, The Good Wife

Courtney B. Vance, Scandal

Guest Actress-Drama:

Kate Burton, Scandal

Allison Janney, Masters of Sex

Linda Lavin, The Good Wife

Margo Martindale, The Americans

Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones

Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder

Writing-Drama:

The Affair “Episode 1 (Pilot)”

Downton Abbey “Episode 8”

Game of Thrones “Mother’s Mercy”

Mad Men “Person to Person”

Orange is the New Black “We Have Manners. We’re Polite.”

Directing-Drama:

Better Call Saul “Uno”

Boardwalk Empire “Eldorado”

Empire “Pilot”

Game of Thrones “Mother’s Mercy”

Orange is the New Black “Thirsty Bird”

Limited Series:

American Crime

American Horror Story: Freak Show

The Honorable Woman

Olive Kitteridge

Wolf Hall

TV Movie:

Bessie

Derek Special

Foyle’s War: Elise, The Final Mystery

Nightingale

Worricker: Salting the Battlefield

Lead Actor-Limited Series/Movie:

Ricky Gervais, Derek Special

Richard Jenkins, Olive Kitteridge

Nathan Lane, The Nance

David Oyelowo, Nightingale

Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall

Kiefer Sutherland, 24: Live Another Day

Lead Actress-Limited Series/Movie:

Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honorable Woman

Felicity Huffman, American Crime

Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Freak Show

Queen Latifah, Bessie

Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge

Emma Thompson, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

Supporting Actor-Limited Series/Movie:

Michael Chiklis, American Horror Story: Freak Show

Ralph Fiennes, Worricker: Salting the Battlefield

Damian Lewis, Wolf Hall

Bill Murray, Olive Kitteridge

Jonathan Pryce, Wolf Hall

Stephen Rea, The Honorable Woman

Supporting Actress-Limited Series/Movie:

Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Freak Show

Judy Davis, Worricker: Salting the Battlefield

Janet McTeer, The Honorable Woman

Mo’Nique, Bessie

Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Freak Show

Susan Sarandon, The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe

Writing-Limited Series/Movie/Special:

Bessie

Derek Special

The Honorable Woman

Olive Kitteridge

Wolf Hall

Directing-Limited Series/Movie/Special:

American Horror Story: Freak Show “Monsters Among Us”

Bessie

The Honorable Woman

Olive Kitteridge

Wolf Hall

Variety Talk Series:

The Colbert Report

The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

Jimmy Kimmel Live

Late Show with David Letterman

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

Variety Sketch Series:

Drunk History

Inside Amy Schumer

Key & Peele

Kroll Show

Portlandia

Saturday Night Live

Variety Special:

Bill Maher: Live from D.C.

The Kennedy Center Honors

Louis C.K.: Live at the Comedy Store

Mel Brooks Live at the Geffen

The Saturday Night Live 40^th Anniversary Special

Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga: Cheek to Cheek Live

Writing-Variety Series:

The Colbert Report

The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

Inside Amy Schumer

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

Portlandia

Directing-Variety Series:

The Colbert Report

The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

Inside Amy Schumer

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver

Late Show with David Letterman

Writing-Variety Special:

Aziz Ansari: Live at Madison Square Garden

Bill Maher: Live from D.C.

Chelsea Handler: Uganda Be Kidding Me, Live

The 72^nd Annual Golden Globe Awards

Louis C.K.: Live At the Comedy Store

Directing-Variety Special:

Beyoncé and Jay Z On the Run

The Kennedy Center Honors

Louis C.K.: Live at the Comedy Store

2015 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony

68^th Annual Tony Awards

Reality-Competition Program:

The Amazing Race

Dancing with the Stars

Project Runway

So You Think You Can Dance

Top Chef

The Voice

Host-Reality/Reality-Competition Program:

Tom Bergeron, Dancing with the Stars

Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance

Phil Keoghan, The Amazing Race

Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn, Project Runway

Jane Lynch, Hollywood Game Night

RuPaul, RuPaul’s Drag Race

Best Lead Actress-Comedy Contenders

All of last year's nominees are eligible, except for Taylor Schilling, as Orange is the New Black will be competing in the Drama categories.

Lock:

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

The three-time returning champ. It would be a huge upset if she misses. She could very likely make it four in a row.

Solid:

Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie

Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Goodbye nominations usually happen here, even for performers and shows that are not immediately on the Academy's radar (see Laura Dern for Enlightened, Bonnie Hunt for Life with Bonnie and Stockard Channing for Out of Practice). So it would be a surprise, but not a shock, if they drop Falco and Poehler who have been nominated for every season (save P&R short first season). Falco won in her first year of eligibility and Poehler is still seen as overdue (but that didn't help Jane Kaczmarek for Malcolm in the Middle).

Fighting It Out:

Jane Fonda, Grace and Frankie

Lisa Kudrow, The Comeback

Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly

Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer 

Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

That leaves three spots. The lazy choice is simply put in McCarthy, Lena Dunham and one more lady. However, Girls dipped significantly in quality and buzz, so Dunham drops to the next group of ladies. It could be Grace and Frankie co-stars, Fonda and Tomlin, although will voters nominated both, neither or actually pick one over the other (which might tip the scales for Tomlin). Schumer has had quite a year and a very visible higher profile. They did nominate Sarah Silverman for The Sarah Silverman Program, so a nomination for Schumer wouldn't be a big stretch, especially since she's coming in with a Critics' Choice Award (and possibly the Television Critics Association Award). But if they do drop McCarthy (despite the big box office for Spy), who gets the last spot? That leaves a former nominee in this category, Kudrow, who was respected enough to be nominated the first time The Comeback was on, even with it being a cancelled show. Perhaps she can do it again?

Spoilers:

Lena Dunham, Girls

Ilana Glazer, Broad City

Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Gina Rodriguez, Jane the Virgin

Constance Wu, Fresh Off the Boat

Dunham probably isn't even the most likely to spoil from this list. That's Kemper, who seemed like a shoo-in, until the bigger names of Fonda and Tomlin showed up to represent Netflix. The Critics' Choice Awards nominated Glazer, Rodriguez and Wu, but all three stand big obstacles to get in. Glazer still has competition with her co-star and Comedy Central's other darling, Schumer. Rodriguez has the Golden Globe, but we know that doesn't hold a lot of weight here, plus she's on the CW and skews very young. Wu is on a mid-season replacement, as the overbearing and exasperated mother. We've seen this work in the past (Kaczmarek, Louis-Dreyfus for The New Adventures of Old Christine), but Wu still seems too new to the scene.

Longshots:

Anna Faris, Mom

Abbi Jacobson, Broad City

Tracee Ellis Ross, blackish

Emmy Rossum, Shameless

Kristen Schaal, The Last Man on Earth

If voters started to watch Mom for Allison Janney, that might benefit Faris, but doesn't seem likely. Jacobson is coming in third in Comedy Central's lineup for a big push here. ABC has a better shot with Wu than Ross, even though black-ish was a bigger hit and Ross is more well-known among actors. Schaal would need The Last Man on Earth to show up everywhere and right now, I'm betting on just Will Forte being recognized. And Rossum can once again sit quietly while the showier parts of the show get attention, while she goes unrewarded...again.