Globe Predix!

Best Drama:

Argo

Django Unchained

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Zero Dark Thirty

Best Comedy/Musical:

The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Les Miserables

Moonrise Kingdom

Silver Linings Playbook

Ted

Best Director:

Ben Affleck, Argo

Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Michael Haneke, Amour

Tom Hooper, Les Miserables

Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Best Lead Actor-Drama:

Ben Affleck, Argo

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

John Hawkes, The Sessions

Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Denzel Washington, Flight

Best Lead Actress-Drama:

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone

Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina

Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Best Lead Actor-Comedy/Musical:

Jack Black, Bernie

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Russell Crowe, Les Miserables

Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables

Tommy Lee Jones, Hope Springs

Best Lead Actress-Comedy/Musical:

Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Bette Midler, Parental Guidance

Meryl Streep, Hope Springs

Barbra Streisand, The Guilt Trip

Best Supporting Actor:

Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook

Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained

Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike

Eddie Redmayne, Les Miserables

Best Supporting Actress:

Samantha Barks, Les Miserables

Sally Field, Lincoln

Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Kerry Washington, Django Unchained

Best Screenplay:

Argo

Django Unchained

Lincoln

Moonrise Kingdom

Silver Linings Playbook

Best Original Score:

Anna Karenina

Life of Pi

Lincoln

The Master

Moonrise Kingdom

Best Original Song:

“Abraham’s Daughter,” The Hunger Games (The Arcade Fire)

“Breath of Life,” Snow White and the Huntsman (Florence + the Machine)

“Everybody Needs a Friend,” Ted (Norah Jones)

“Skyfall,” Skyfall (Adele)

“Suddenly,” Les Miserables (Hugh Jackman)

TELEVISION:

Best Drama:

Boardwalk Empire

Downton Abbey

Homeland

Mad Men

The Newsroom

Best Comedy/Musical:

Girls

Modern Family

New Girl

Smash

Veep

TV Movie/Miniseries:

American Horror Story: Asylum

Game Change

Hatfields & McCoys

Hemingway & Gelhorn

Sherlock

Best Lead Actor-Drama:

Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire

Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad

Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom

Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Damian Lewis, Homeland

Jonny Lee Miller, Elementary

Best Lead Actress-Drama:

Claire Danes, Homeland

Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey

Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife

Jessica Paré, Mad Men

Kerry Washington, Scandal

Best Lead Actor-Comedy/Musical:

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock

Louis C.K., Louie

Matt LeBlanc, Episodes

Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Matthew Perry, Go On

Best Lead Actress-Comedy/Musical:

Zooey Deschanel, New Girl

Lena Dunham, Girls

Tina Fey, 30 Rock

Mindy Kaling, The Mindy Project

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Best Lead Actor-M/M:

Kevin Costner, Hatfields & McCoys

Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock

Woody Harrelson, Game Change

Clive Owen, Hemingway & Gelhorn

Bill Paxton, Hatfields & McCoys

Best Lead Actress-M/M:

Ashley Judd, Missing

Nicole Kidman, Hemingway & Gelhorn

Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum

Julianne Moore, Game Change

Sigourney Weaver, Political Animals

Best Supporting Actor:

Martin Freeman, Sherlock

Max Greenfield, New Girl

Ed Harris, Game Change

Mandy Patinkin, Homeland

Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad

Sam Waterston, The Newsroom

Best Supporting Actress:

Ellen Barkin, The New Normal

Anjelica Huston, Smash

Jena Malone, Hatfields & McCoys

Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Sofia Vergara, Modern Family

SAG Predictions!

Ensemble:

Argo

Les Miserables

Lincoln

Moonrise Kingdom

Silver Linings Playbook

Male Actor in a Lead Role:

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

John Hawkes, The Sessions

Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables

Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Female Actor in a Lead Role:

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Helen Mirren, Hitchcock

Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Male Actor in a Supporting Role:

Alan Arkin, Argo

Bryan Cranston, Argo

Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook

Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Female Actor in a Supporting Role:

Amy Adams, The Master

Ann Dowd, Compliance

Sally Field, Lincoln

Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Helen Hunt, The Sessions

TELEVISION

Drama Ensemble:

Boardwalk Empire

Downton Abbey

Game of Thrones

Homeland

Mad Men

Comedy Ensemble:

The Big Bang Theory

Girls

Glee

Modern Family

30 Rock

Male Actor in a Drama:

Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire

Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad

Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom

Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Damian Lewis, Homeland

Female Actor in a Drama:

Claire Danes, Homeland

Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum

Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife

Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Male Actor in a Comedy:

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock

Ty Burrell, Modern Family

Louis C.K., Louie

Matt LeBlanc, Episodes

Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Female Actor in a Comedy:

Lena Dunham, Girls

Tina Fey, 30 Rock

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Sofia Vergara, Modern Family

Male Actor in a M/M:

Kevin Costner, Hatfields & McCoys

Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock

Woody Harrelson, Game Change

Ed Harris, Game Change

Clive Owen, Hemingway & Gelhorn

Female Actor in a M/M:

Ellen Burstyn, Political Animals

Ashley Judd, Missing

Nicole Kidman, Hemingway & Gelhorn

Julianne Moore, Game Change

Sigourney Weaver, Political Animals

Globe & SAG Predix!

http://foryourspeculation.libsyn.com/episode-fifty-one-globe-sag-predix-2012

More detailed list to come soon!

New Podcast!

http://foryourspeculation.libsyn.com/episode-fifty-oscar-thoughts-2012

Finally!

Los Angeles Film Critics Association Predictions

Of the first week of major critics precursors, the Los Angeles Film Critics Association (LAFCA) will go last on Friday, December 7. Here are my predictions!

Best Picture: The Master
(Runner-Up: Lincoln)
Others to Consider: Amour, Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Moonrise Kingdom, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director: Michael Haneke, Amour
(Runner-Up: Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master)
Others to Consider: Ben Affleck, Argo; Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild; Ang Lee, Life of Pi; Steven Spielberg, Lincoln; Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Lead Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
(Runner-Up: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln)
Others to Consider: Richard Gere, Arbitrage; John Hawkes, The Sessions; Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock; Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables; Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour; Denzel Washington, Flight

Best Lead Actress: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
(Runner-Up: Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Others to Consider: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty; Emayatzy Corinealdi, Middle of Nowhere; Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone; Greta Gerwig, Damsels in Distress/Frances Ha/Lola Versus; Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games/Silver Linings Playbook; Melanie Lynskey, Hello, I Must Be Going; Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Smashed

Best Supporting Actor: Bryan Cranston, Argo
(Runner-Up: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln)
Others to Consider: Alan Arkin, Argo; Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook; James Gandolfini, Killing Them Softly/Not Fade Away/Zero Dark Thirty; John Goodman, Argo/Flight/Trouble with the Curve; Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild; Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master; Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike; Michael Peña, End of Watch; Sam Rockwell, Seven Psychopaths; Bruce Willis, Moonrise Kingdom

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams, The Master
(Runner-Up: Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises/Les Miserables)
Others to Consider: Samantha Barks, Les Miserables; Rosemarie DeWitt, Your Sister's Sister; Ann Dowd, Compliance; Sally Field, Lincoln; Helen Hunt, The Sessions; Isabelle Huppert, Amour; Kelly Reilly, Flight; Kerry Washington, Django Unchained

Best Screenplay: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
(Runner-Up: Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master)
Others to Consider: Amour, Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Django Unchained, Moonrise Kingdom, The Sessions, Seven Psychopaths, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Cinematography: The Master
(Runner-Up: Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Others to Consider: Amour, Anna Karenina, Argo, Cloud Atlas, Django Unchained, The Hobbit, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Moonrise Kingdom, Skyfall, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Production Design: Les Miserables
(Runner-Up: Anna Karenina)
Others to Consider: Beasts of the Southern Wild, Cloud Atlas, Django Unchained, The Hobbit, Life of Pi, Lincoln, The Master, A Royal Affair, Skyfall

Best Music: Jonny Greenwood, The Master
(Runner-Up: Alexandre Desplat, Argo/Moonrise Kingdom/Rise of the Guardians/Rust and Bone/Zero Dark Thirty)
Others to Consider: Amour, Anna Karenina, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Brave, Cloud Atlas, The Hobbit, Life of Pi, Lincoln, On the Road, Silver Linings Playbook, Skyfall

Best Foreign-Language Film: Amour
(Runner-Up: The Intouchables)

Best Non-Fiction Film: Searching for Sugar Man
(Runner-Up: The Central Park Five)

Best Animated Film: Brave
(Runner-Up: Frankenweenie)

New Generation Award: Benh Zeitlin and Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Others to Consider: Ava DuVernay and Emayatzy Corinealdi, Middle of Nowhere

National Board of Review Predictions

The National Board of Review (NBR) are usually the first group to hand out awards, but this year, they will be second, as we won't see their winners until Wednesday, December 5. Here are my predictions for this group.

Best Picture: Argo

The Top 10:
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director: Ben Affleck, Argo
Best Debut Director: Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Lead Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Best Lead Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games and Silver Linings Playbook
Best Supporting Actor: John Goodman, Argo, Flight and Trouble with the Curve
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises and Les Miserables
Best Breakthrough Actor: Logan Lerman, The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Best Breakthrough Actress: Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Spotlight Award: Matthew McConaughey, Bernie, Killer Joe, Magic Mike and The Paperboy
Best Ensemble: The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Best Original Screenplay: Moonrise Kingdom
Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo

Best Animated Feature: Frankenweenie
Best Documentary: The Central Park Five
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour

Freedom of Expression Award: Promised Land
Special Achievement in Filmmaking: Andy and Lana Wachowski and Tom Tkywer, Cloud Atlas

Top 10 Independent Films:
Arbitrage
Bernie
Damsels in Distress
Hello, I Must Be Going
Killer Joe
Middle of Nowhere
Quartet
Safety Not Guaranteed
The Sessions
Your Sister's Sister

Top 5 Documentaries:
The House I Live In
Maria Abramovic: The Artist Is Present
The Queen of Versailles
Searching for Sugar Man
West of Memphis

Top 5 Foreign Films:
Caesar Must Die, Italy
The Intouchables, France
No, Chile
A Royal Affair, Denmark
Rust and Bone, France

New York Film Critics Circle Predictions

The New York Film Critics Circle (NYFCC) will be the first major critics awards to be unveiled on Monday, December 3rd. Here are my predictions!

Best Film: The Master
(Runner-Up: Amour)
Others to Consider: Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Moonrise Kingdom, Zero Dark Thirty

Best First Film: Beasts of the Southern Wild
(Runner-Up: The Sessions)
Others to Consider: Arbitrage, Hitchcock, A Late Quartet, Not Fade Away, Quartet, Safety Not Guaranteed, Sleepwalk With Me

Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
(Runner-Up: Michael Haneke, Amour)
Others to Consider: Ben Affleck, Argo; Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild; Ang Lee, Life of Pi; Steven Spielberg, Lincoln; Wes Anderson, Moonrise Kingdom; Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Lead Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
(Runner-Up: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln)
Others to Consider: Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook; Richard Gere, Arbitrage; John Hawkes, The Sessions; Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock; Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour; Denzel Washington, Flight

Best Lead Actress: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
(Runner-Up: Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Others to Consider: Linda Cardellini, Return; Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty; Emayatzy Corinealdi, Middle of Nowhere; Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone; Greta Gerwig, Damsels in Distress/Frances Ha/Lola Versus; Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook; Melanie Lynskey, Hello, I Must Be Going; Michelle Williams, Take This Waltz; Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Smashed

Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
(Runner-Up: Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master)
Others to Consider: Alan Arkin, Argo; Bryan Cranston, Argo; Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained; James Gandolfini, Killing Them Softly/Not Fade Away/Zero Dark Thirty; John Goodman, Argo/Flight/Trouble with the Curve; Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild; Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike; David Strathairn, Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress: Helen Hunt, The Sessions
(Runner-Up: Sally Field, Lincoln)
Others to Consider: Amy Adams, The Master; Samantha Barks, Les Miserables; Pauline Collins, Quartet; Ann Dowd, Compliance; Anne Hathaway, The Dark Knight Rises/Les Miserables; Isabelle Huppert, Amour; Kelly Reilly, Flight; Kerry Washington, Django Unchained

Best Screenplay: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
(Runner-Up: Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master)
Others to Consider: Amour, Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Life of Pi, Moonrise Kingdom, The Sessions, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Cinematography: The Master
(Runner-Up: Lincoln)
Others to Consider: Amour, Anna Karenina, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Cloud Atlas, Django Unchained, Life of Pi, Moonrise Kingdom, Skyfall, Zero Dark Thirty